Sustainable Cities and Society, cilt.131, 2025 (SCI-Expanded)
This study aims to assess social vulnerability (SV) to natural hazards at the provincial level in Türkiye. For this purpose, the variables identified by deductive approach were weighted using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), Fuzzy AHP and Rough AHP methods. In this context, 20 experts were consulted. The results are mapped to assess the findings at provincial, geographical and national level. Methodologically, the traditional AHP and Fuzzy AHP methods of overall SV yielded the same results, while the RAHP method differed from these methods. Regionally, provinces with the highest SV are concentrated in Eastern Anatolia, Eastern Mediterranean and the northern regions of Central Anatolia, while very low and low provinces are clustered in the Marmara region. According to all methods, at least 22% of the provinces have very high SV. Although there are differences in ranking between methods, it is concluded that Hakkari, Osmaniye, Bitlis, Şırnak and Hatay are the 5 provinces with the highest vulnerability, while Ankara, Kocaeli and Istanbul are the provinces with the lowest SV. The results of the study will make important contributions to literature in terms of comparing different methods of weighting, which is one of the important challenges in literature on vulnerability assessment. Furthermore, the information obtained from this study may provide some insights for decision-makers and practitioners in Türkiye and other developing countries with similar socio-economic structures in developing strategies to reduce urban disaster risk.