The Relationship Between Political Instability and Budget Consistency: 1984-2018 Period Analysis in Turkey

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Atilgan-Yasa A., Şanlısoy S., Özen A.

SOSYOEKONOMI, cilt.28, sa.44, ss.337-354, 2020 (ESCI) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 28 Sayı: 44
  • Basım Tarihi: 2020
  • Doi Numarası: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2020.02.15
  • Dergi Adı: SOSYOEKONOMI
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.337-354
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Budget, Budgetary Principles, Consistency, Political Instability, ARDL, TIME-SERIES, UNIT-ROOT
  • Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

In this study, it is aimed to determine the relationship between the political instability and the consistency of the budget in line with the deviations between the government budget revenue and expenditure estimates and their realizations in Turkey. In other words, the study evaluated the consistency of the objectives in the budget documents, the performance audit and the effects of the political instability on the budget. To what extent political instability affacts the budget estimates and its realization in Turkey has been examined using the ARDL method with data for the 1984-2018 period. It was found that the structural change in the budget system realized in 2006 had a positive effect on the achievement of budget targets. As a result of this study, suggestions for improving the consistency of forecasts and solutions for problems that may be caused by political instability were developed.