Integrating hydrological modelling and System Dynamics tools for understanding Water-Ecosystems-Food Nexus: hints from the Tarquinia area (Italy)


Yaseen M., Portoghese I., Iacobellıs V., Vanıno S., Baratella V., Fabıanı S., ...Daha Fazla

8th Europe Congress of the International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research (IAHR), Lisbon, Portekiz, 4 - 07 Haziran 2024, ss.1-2

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Özet Bildiri
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Lisbon
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Portekiz
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1-2
  • Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

The present work proposes an operational approach to the concept of Water-Ecosystems-Food Nexus, based on the integration of Participatory System Dynamics Modeling techniques (PSDM) and hydrological modelling, specifically the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Specific reference is made to the Tarquinia Plain area (Central Italy), one of the pilot areas within the LENSES project (PRIMA Foundation, GA n. 2041), where irrigated agriculture plays a vital role for local communities, yet with increasing concerns for the impacts on the state of the environment and for the interplay with water resources availability (due to climate change impacts) and quality. In summary the proposed approach is based on the use of: i) Causal Loop Diagrams (CLD) for an improved conceptual understanding of system state and potential evolution, as well as for the identification of key challenges and leverage points; ii) hydrological modelling (SWAT) for getting a deeper understanding of the main implications of agricultural practices on the state of the area; iii) stock and flow models, for scenario analysis and policy design. The methodological approach is being replicated in several case studies in Europe and beyond.