Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
The 13th World Congress of the European Water Resources Association (EWRA) on Water Resources and Environment, "New challenges in understanding and managing water-related risks in a changing environment", Palermo, İtalya, 24 - 28 Haziran 2025, cilt.1, ss.109-110, (Özet Bildiri)
The Mediterranean region is susceptible to climate change as intensive as worldwide, experiencing
increasing drought frequencies and intensities (Singh 2013). The analysis of long-term hydro-meteorological
data is crucial for water resources management and studies on the impacts of climate change.
Understanding the probabilistic nature of drought occurrences is also essential for sustainable water
resources management. Utilizing historical rainfall data of multiple locations, the research applied entropy
methods to quantify uncertainty and detect trends in precipitation patterns.
This study employs entropy-based statistical methods to analyze rainfall data of coastal Mediterranean
countries (Shannon 1948), aiming to assess drought by precipitation variability and forecast potential trends,
evaluating percent changes in rainfall by assessing long-term historical data to manage future basin
management strategies. Maps were generated to visualize the spatial distribution of rainfall uncertainty across
the Mediterranean basin, including information on percentage changes in rainfall from 1960 to 2020. These
maps serve as a critical tool for understanding drought-prone areas and their future potential development with
the information they include. Furthermore, entropy maps visually represent rainfall uncertainty, enhancing the
interpretability of results and identifying critical drought-prone regions (Singh 2024).