Home Advantage and Away Disadvantage of Teams in Türkiye Super League Derbies
V. INTERNATIONAL APPLIED STATISTICS CONGRESS (UYIK - 2024), İstanbul, Türkiye, 21 - 23 Mayıs 2024, cilt.1, ss.274-279, (Tam Metin Bildiri)
- Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
- Cilt numarası: 1
- Basıldığı Şehir: İstanbul
- Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.274-279
- Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
In all professional team sports, the team playing at home derives an advantage and the team playing away has a disadvantage. The extent of this advantage and disadvantage varies both between sports and between different competitions within each sport. In soccer, home advantage (HA) or away disadvantage (AD) has always been a particularly important factor in determining the outcome of a game, however, there is a limited number of studies that examine team-specific HA and AD and determine the nature and cause of these factors. Although football is the most followed sport in Türkiye, the matches played between the 4 major football teams with the most championships in the league are followed by all football fans in the country. These matches called derbies, not only directly affect the championship race in the league, but also determine the national agenda from time to time. In this study, team-specific HA and AD values are estimated using data from 276 derby matches played between the 2000/2001 and 2022/2023 seasons. Using Generalized Estimating Equations and Poisson regression, it is determined that all teams have a statistically significant HA in derby matches played at home, with rates ranging from 61.8% to 65.1%. In terms of AD, it was found that all teams except Fenerbahçe have a statistically significant AD value in derbies. When the results of this study are compared with other studies in the literature, it is found that the HA of the big teams in derby matches is lower compared to other matches in the league. However, although the four teams do not statistically experience AD in away matches against their other rivals in the league, this is not the case in derbies and the AD values of the teams increase. There are studies in the literature that there are many factors such as fan support, referee bias, distance, altitude, and psychological factors that affect the HA of the teams. On the other hand, the results of this study indicate that factors such as the strength of the opponents, inter-team rivalry, etc. are also effective on the HA and AD of the teams.