Stock Market Forecasting Using Machine Learning Models

Site A., BİRANT D., IŞIK Z.

Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference (ASYU), İzmir, Türkiye, 31 Ekim - 02 Kasım 2019, ss.318-323 identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
  • Cilt numarası:
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1109/asyu48272.2019.8946372
  • Basıldığı Şehir: İzmir
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.318-323
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: forecasting, Recurrent Neural Networks, Long Short-Term Memory, Gated Recurrent Unit, index, stock market
  • Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Stock market forecasting is a challenging problem. In order to cope with this problem, various techniques and methods have been proposed. In this study, the stock close values are tried to be forecasted as monthly and weekly. For this purpose, values of two traded stocks (Google, Amazon) are predicted using with models being processed. In addition, stock data were taken from two different indexes (Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P 500) for a realistic assumption. Stock market data includes long term dependencies. For this reason, classical Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN)-based models could not effectively work for in such data. Therefore, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) based models were developed and their efficiencies were observed in this study. These models were also compared with traditional machine learning approaches and the obtained gains were calculated.